Disaster losses grow faster than wealth due to economic growth and rationality. A Comment on Rosenthal, Strange and Thisse (2011), 586-571

Disaster losses grow more quickly than wealth, thanks to economic growth and rationality. The paper is about policy research. World Bank Group https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-5617 (2011).

Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics Vol. 4 has authors Rosenthal, Strange and Thisse. 2119–2171 It was Elsevier in 2004.

Global exposure to floods and extreme sea levels. Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 10762 (2001) — Working papers from Ceifo

The long term trends and changes relating to global exposure to river and coastal flooding. I think it’s glob. Environ. Change 22, 825–825.

Peduzzi, P., Herolds, C., and Mouton, F. were involved in the assessment of global exposure and vulnerability towards natural disasters. Nat. It’s called Hazards Earth Syst. InSci. 9, 1149–1159.

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Increasing exposure to floods in China is revealed by nighttime light data. Environ. Res. Lett. 16, 104044 (2021).

How did the land in the floodplains expand in China from 1992 to 2015? Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 029018.

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Climate Risk and Urbanization in the World Settlement Footprint: A Study of the Rise and Fall of the Asia-Pacific Region and the Challenges to Resilience to Climate Change

The built-up grid is derived from Landsat. European Commission, Joint Research Centre https://doi.org/10.2905/jrc-ghsl-10007 (2018).

Current trends in global urbanisation can be understood in the World Settlement Footprint suite. GI_Forum 9 was held in the year 2021.

Looking to the future, Rentschler and his colleagues plan to continue monitoring climate risk and urbanization trends around the world. They aim to identify high-risk developments early on and publicize success stories to build people’s resilience to climate change.

The East Asia and Pacific region is most exposed to floods. In 2015, more than 20% of the settlements in the area were prone to flooding. The countries with the lowest exposure were North America and sub-Saharan Africa.

In China, land in flood zones is more profitable to sell to developers than land with no flood risk, because it is more cheap for local governments to acquire.

He points out that there are trade-offs between economic opportunities and disaster risk, and that this is a factor in the expansion of major port cities and beach-front communities.

He adds that development in flood zones can also be an “uninformed choice” when flood risk assessment is poor or urban-planning regulations are inadequate.

Rentschler agrees that community policy and local patterns of urbanization are key to reducing people’s exposure to climate risk. He says that the role of city mayors in response to climate change is crucial.